Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Copp wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Kastelic leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 80.8%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 59.4%
Neutral zone
Copp 59.4%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Copp
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Copp
Kastelic
Last 10: Copp 5-5 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
7
0
Copp
Kastelic
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
6
Copp
Kastelic
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
2
5
Copp
Kastelic
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,453)
57.0% (1,613)
-4.6%
Power Play
58.1% (503)
80.0% (25)
-21.9%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (931)
53.6% (274)
-8.3%
On power play, Kastelic has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Copp is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,468).
Copp shoots left. Kastelic is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,420).
Home / Away
Copp
Kastelic
Home
52.7% (3,528)
58.9% (895)
Away
51.0% (3,359)
55.1% (1,017)
By Period
Copp
Kastelic
P1
53.0%
58.5%
P2
51.4%
56.9%
P3
51.4%
55.3%
OT
39.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
51.5%
59.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 07:41 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 10:45 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 05:25 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 11:30 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 2 | 11:06 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 05:02 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 14:00 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:53 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 09:49 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 13:55 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 10:36 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 11:08 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 12:47 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 10:46 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 09:13 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |