Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 54.4%). Copp wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.2% vs Kastelic 53.5% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 50.7%
Defensive zone
Copp 67.2%
Neutral zone
Copp 58.1%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Copp
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Copp
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Copp
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Copp
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (833)
53.4% (337)
+0.7%
Power Play
77.5% (40)
100.0% (4)
-22.5%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (128)
75.0% (8)
-32.8%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +32.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Copp is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Copp shoots left. Kastelic is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Copp
Kastelic
Home
51.9% (511)
56.2% (162)
Away
55.3% (490)
52.9% (187)
By Period
Copp
Kastelic
P1
54.1%
58.2%
P2
54.2%
58.8%
P3
52.5%
45.4%
Final 5 min
53.4%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.5%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2024 | 2 | 11:06 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 05:02 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |