Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Kastelic 58.3% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 78.4%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 73.2%
Neutral zone
Copp 53.0%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Copp
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Copp
Kastelic
Last 6: Copp 3-3 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
3
0
Copp
Kastelic
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Copp
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
2
Copp
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (693)
61.2% (340)
-6.9%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
83.3% (6)
-25.9%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (57)
56.0% (141)
-10.4%
On power play, Kastelic has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Copp is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Copp shoots left. Kastelic is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Copp
Kastelic
Home
54.4% (408)
60.9% (233)
Away
53.4% (410)
59.1% (254)
By Period
Copp
Kastelic
P1
53.3%
58.6%
P2
54.1%
58.7%
P3
54.9%
63.1%
OT
20.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
60.8%
67.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.9%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 07:41 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 10:45 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 05:25 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |