Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.6% vs Thomas 44.6% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 66.8%
Defensive zone
Copp 89.5%
Neutral zone
Copp 76.4%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 80.4%
80.4%
19.6%
Copp
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Copp
Thomas
Last 5: Copp 4-1 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
1
Copp
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (455)
42.1% (297)
+12.8%
Power Play
49.1% (53)
50.0% (16)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (77)
75.0% (4)
-30.8%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +30.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Copp is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Copp shoots left. Thomas is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (228).
Home / Away
Copp
Thomas
Home
53.4% (309)
40.9% (186)
Away
52.5% (276)
45.8% (131)
By Period
Copp
Thomas
P1
55.6%
43.3%
P2
51.6%
40.6%
P3
51.6%
45.3%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 17:29 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 19:18 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 02:48 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |