Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 51.6%). Look for Copp on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 14 meetings). Copp wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Thomas 51.6% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Copp leads 18-16 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 54.6%
Defensive zone
Copp 64.4%
Neutral zone
Thomas 50.4%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Copp
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
16
(34 meetings)
18
16
Copp
Thomas
Last 10: Copp 6-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
7
7
Copp
Thomas
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
8
6
Copp
Thomas
14 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Copp
Thomas
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,453)
51.1% (5,350)
+1.3%
Power Play
58.1% (503)
55.8% (921)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (931)
49.9% (691)
-4.6%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Copp is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,468).
Copp shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,919).
Home / Away
Copp
Thomas
Home
52.7% (3,528)
50.9% (3,458)
Away
51.0% (3,359)
52.3% (3,504)
By Period
Copp
Thomas
P1
53.0%
50.6%
P2
51.4%
52.9%
P3
51.4%
50.8%
OT
39.0%
59.2%
Final 5 min
51.5%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 17:30 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 05:10 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 17:02 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 16:56 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 12:20 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 17:24 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 01:05 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 09:18 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 05:56 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 16:46 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 13:45 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:28 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 04:24 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |