Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.8% vs Thomas 52.7% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 54.2%
Defensive zone
Copp 77.8%
Neutral zone
Copp 61.0%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Copp
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Copp
Thomas
Last 10: Copp 3-7 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Copp
Thomas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
3
Copp
Thomas
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
3
Copp
Thomas
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (947)
53.6% (924)
-3.3%
Power Play
54.6% (119)
55.2% (181)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (233)
44.0% (116)
+1.5%
On even strength, Thomas has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Copp is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Copp shoots left. Thomas is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Home / Away
Copp
Thomas
Home
51.3% (667)
53.6% (606)
Away
48.3% (632)
52.2% (615)
By Period
Copp
Thomas
P1
50.2%
48.2%
P2
51.8%
55.3%
P3
48.0%
55.2%
OT
33.3%
47.1%
Final 5 min
46.9%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.8%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 16:46 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 13:45 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:28 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 04:24 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 09:21 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 12:15 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 03:14 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |