Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 53.1%). Look for Copp on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Copp wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.2% vs Thomas 52.9% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Copp leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 62.7%
Defensive zone
Copp 64.1%
Neutral zone
Copp 51.3%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Copp
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Copp
Thomas
Last 10: Copp 6-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Copp
Thomas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
3
2
Copp
Thomas
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (833)
53.2% (1,166)
+0.9%
Power Play
77.5% (40)
56.9% (262)
+20.6%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (128)
48.4% (221)
-6.2%
On power play, Copp has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Copp is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Copp shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Copp
Thomas
Home
51.9% (511)
51.6% (830)
Away
55.3% (490)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Copp
Thomas
P1
54.1%
52.7%
P2
54.2%
55.6%
P3
52.5%
50.6%
OT
0.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
53.4%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.5%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 17:02 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 16:56 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 12:20 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 17:24 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 01:05 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 09:18 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 05:56 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |