Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Copp wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Thomas 51.7% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 58.3%
Defensive zone
Copp 58.1%
Neutral zone
Copp 54.5%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Copp
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Copp
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (693)
50.1% (615)
+4.2%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
62.2% (98)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (57)
52.6% (114)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Copp is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Copp shoots left. Thomas is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Copp
Thomas
Home
54.4% (408)
51.9% (374)
Away
53.4% (410)
51.9% (453)
By Period
Copp
Thomas
P1
53.3%
49.2%
P2
54.1%
55.3%
P3
54.9%
50.6%
OT
20.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
60.8%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.9%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 17:30 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |