Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Coyle 49.2% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 55.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 52.3%
Neutral zone
Coyle 68.8%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Cirelli
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
10
(24 meetings)
14
10
Cirelli
Coyle
Last 10: Cirelli 3-7 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
6
3
Cirelli
Coyle
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Cirelli
Coyle
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
4
3
Cirelli
Coyle
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
50.6% (921)
-4.2%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
51.0% (96)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (112)
30.1% (83)
+7.4%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Cirelli is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Cirelli shoots left. Coyle is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (759).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Coyle
Home
46.7% (478)
51.8% (517)
Away
46.4% (470)
46.7% (583)
By Period
Cirelli
Coyle
P1
46.6%
49.2%
P2
48.6%
52.8%
P3
44.3%
44.8%
OT
44.4%
54.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2022 | 3 | 00:08 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 14:04 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 19:03 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 00:48 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 13:57 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 14:59 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 17:11 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 17:42 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 12:42 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 09:57 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 16:08 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |