Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Coyle 48.8% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 65.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 50.6%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 55.6%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Cirelli
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Cirelli
Coyle
Last 5: Cirelli 3-2 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Coyle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cirelli
Coyle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
49.5% (576)
+0.4%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
54.2% (48)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
43.4% (145)
+5.3%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Cirelli is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (462).
Cirelli shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Coyle
Home
46.7% (649)
47.4% (409)
Away
53.5% (643)
50.0% (360)
By Period
Cirelli
Coyle
P1
50.1%
50.8%
P2
51.1%
46.0%
P3
48.5%
48.4%
OT
64.3%
64.3%
Final 5 min
49.7%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 11:25 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 08:06 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |