Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Coyle 50.5% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 54.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 69.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 53.4%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Cirelli
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Cirelli
Coyle
Last 10: Cirelli 6-4 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
6
2
Cirelli
Coyle
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cirelli
Coyle
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Cirelli
Coyle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
52.3% (811)
-1.9%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
44.3% (61)
+25.6%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
44.8% (181)
-8.3%
On power play, Cirelli has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Cirelli is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Cirelli shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Coyle
Home
54.2% (395)
49.0% (537)
Away
45.0% (509)
52.1% (516)
By Period
Cirelli
Coyle
P1
50.8%
48.7%
P2
50.0%
49.6%
P3
46.6%
53.1%
OT
33.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
53.4%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 12:42 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 02:49 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 16:00 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 03:29 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 00:41 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 17:00 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 14:07 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:02 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 01:15 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 13:29 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 09:46 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 16:06 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 12:42 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |