Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Coyle 51.5% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 16-14 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 58.4%
Defensive zone
Coyle 57.7%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 54.6%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Cirelli
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
16
(30 meetings)
14
16
Cirelli
Coyle
Last 10: Cirelli 5-5 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
5
1
Cirelli
Coyle
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
9
Cirelli
Coyle
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Cirelli
Coyle
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
53.0% (1,046)
-2.1%
Power Play
43.4% (76)
57.6% (144)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (150)
43.6% (287)
+0.4%
On power play, Coyle has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Cirelli is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Cirelli shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Coyle
Home
50.6% (494)
54.5% (719)
Away
47.6% (441)
48.8% (758)
By Period
Cirelli
Coyle
P1
52.3%
51.1%
P2
45.4%
50.0%
P3
49.5%
53.3%
OT
62.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.5%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2024 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 3 | 07:25 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 2 | 11:37 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 2 | 01:13 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 1 | 17:33 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 1 | 10:13 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 1 | 10:06 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 13, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 06:45 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 02:42 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 02:26 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 08:23 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 03:12 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 13:46 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |