Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.4% vs Evans 53.9% (-6.4%)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 72.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 73.9%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 56.3%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Cirelli
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (468)
53.6% (349)
-4.0%
Power Play
69.9% (73)
70.0% (10)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (169)
55.9% (161)
-21.0%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Cirelli is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Cirelli shoots left. Evans is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Evans
Home
54.7% (316)
54.1% (290)
Away
42.9% (394)
55.2% (230)
By Period
Cirelli
Evans
P1
49.4%
60.1%
P2
48.9%
53.5%
P3
46.9%
50.3%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.4%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
56.0%▲
45.0%
48.2%
Evans
54.0%▼
57.0%
54.6%