Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.4% vs Evans 52.2% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 82.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 58.3%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 62.7%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Cirelli
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
14
(24 meetings)
10
14
Cirelli
Evans
Last 10: Cirelli 3-7 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
5
4
Cirelli
Evans
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
5
Cirelli
Evans
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
3
5
Cirelli
Evans
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (5,684)
53.8% (3,695)
-4.0%
Power Play
56.9% (571)
60.0% (70)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,196)
47.1% (1,222)
-3.3%
On even strength, Evans has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Cirelli is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,851).
Cirelli shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Evans
Home
49.6% (3,763)
53.4% (2,593)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
51.0% (2,394)
By Period
Cirelli
Evans
P1
49.9%
54.0%
P2
48.8%
50.9%
P3
49.2%
52.0%
OT
51.6%
46.5%
Final 5 min
50.9%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | 3 | 11:29 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 3 | 11:25 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 3 | 06:08 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:22 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:16 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 17:45 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 05:38 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 05:25 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 12:42 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 17:12 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 01:39 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 11:39 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 3 | 18:52 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 3 | 06:45 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 18:10 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 03:30 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 13:32 | Neutral | Jake Evans |