Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Evans 49.8% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 69.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 66.7%
Neutral zone
Evans 55.0%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Cirelli
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Cirelli
Evans
Last 6: Cirelli 3-3 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
0
Cirelli
Evans
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Cirelli
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
51.3% (739)
-4.9%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
53.3% (15)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (112)
43.0% (172)
-5.5%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Cirelli is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Cirelli shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Evans
Home
46.7% (478)
52.1% (503)
Away
46.4% (470)
47.0% (423)
By Period
Cirelli
Evans
P1
46.6%
50.5%
P2
48.6%
47.7%
P3
44.3%
51.3%
OT
44.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 03:30 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 13:32 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 02:28 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 13:18 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 17:01 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |