Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Evans 55.4% (-7.2%)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 77.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 69.1%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 55.4%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Cirelli
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
56.2% (477)
-5.8%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
70.0% (10)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
55.4% (204)
-18.9%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Cirelli is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Cirelli shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Evans
Home
54.2% (395)
55.3% (374)
Away
45.0% (509)
57.1% (317)
By Period
Cirelli
Evans
P1
50.8%
58.5%
P2
50.0%
55.7%
P3
46.6%
53.9%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%