Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Cirelli wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Staal 56.8% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 63.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 72.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 77.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 69.7%
30.3%
69.7%
Cirelli
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Cirelli
Staal
Last 10: Cirelli 6-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
4
1
Cirelli
Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Cirelli
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
58.9% (1,041)
-12.5%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
53.4% (73)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (112)
49.1% (171)
-11.6%
On even strength, Staal has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Cirelli is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Cirelli shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Staal
Home
46.7% (478)
59.0% (578)
Away
46.4% (470)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Cirelli
Staal
P1
46.6%
57.1%
P2
48.6%
60.9%
P3
44.3%
55.8%
OT
44.4%
20.8%
Final 5 min
50.6%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 17:12 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 16:59 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 14:28 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 09:32 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 06:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 03:06 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 14:32 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 11:52 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |