Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 51.2% vs Staal 55.3% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 58.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 60.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 59.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Cirelli
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Cirelli
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Cirelli
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (585)
56.3% (1,115)
-4.2%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
61.2% (67)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
52.1% (292)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Cirelli is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Cirelli shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Staal
Home
52.4% (462)
58.3% (705)
Away
50.1% (369)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Cirelli
Staal
P1
50.7%
54.5%
P2
49.6%
58.2%
P3
53.3%
54.1%
OT
61.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 17:19 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 1 | 04:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |