Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Rossi 45.3% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 52.0%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 75.2%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 62.6%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Cirelli
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Cirelli
Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
1
Cirelli
Rossi
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
44.5% (701)
+6.4%
Power Play
43.4% (76)
56.1% (41)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (150)
0.0% (7)
+44.0%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Cirelli is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Cirelli shoots left. Rossi is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Rossi
Home
50.6% (494)
46.8% (385)
Away
47.6% (441)
42.6% (364)
By Period
Cirelli
Rossi
P1
52.3%
42.8%
P2
45.4%
43.9%
P3
49.5%
47.4%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
37.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 07:49 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 04:29 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:16 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 04:01 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |