Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.4% vs Rossi 46.9% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Rossi leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 63.0%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 66.7%
Neutral zone
Rossi 52.4%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Cirelli
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Cirelli
Rossi
Last 10: Cirelli 4-6 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
3
Cirelli
Rossi
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
Rossi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Cirelli
Rossi
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (5,684)
47.0% (2,140)
+2.8%
Power Play
56.9% (571)
47.3% (188)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,196)
34.1% (44)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,600).
Cirelli shoots left. Rossi is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,529).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Rossi
Home
49.6% (3,763)
47.8% (1,207)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
45.7% (1,165)
By Period
Cirelli
Rossi
P1
49.9%
47.3%
P2
48.8%
44.8%
P3
49.2%
48.3%
OT
51.6%
45.8%
Final 5 min
50.9%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 07:04 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 04:16 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 10:47 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 03:37 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:38 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 05:54 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 07:49 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 04:29 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:16 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 04:01 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |