Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Rossi 50.4% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 50.6%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 62.8%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 55.9%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Cirelli
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Cirelli
Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Rossi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
2
Cirelli
Rossi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
52.8% (400)
-2.4%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
36.1% (36)
+33.8%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
37.0% (27)
-0.5%
On power play, Cirelli has a +33.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Cirelli is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Cirelli shoots left. Rossi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (318).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Rossi
Home
54.2% (395)
50.0% (242)
Away
45.0% (509)
51.1% (221)
By Period
Cirelli
Rossi
P1
50.8%
54.9%
P2
50.0%
48.7%
P3
46.6%
47.9%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 07:04 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 04:16 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |