Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Rossi 47.1% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 64.2%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 54.8%
Neutral zone
Rossi 52.3%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Cirelli
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Cirelli
Rossi
Last 6: Cirelli 2-4 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
3
Cirelli
Rossi
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
Rossi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
46.5% (879)
+3.4%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
48.6% (105)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
50.0% (8)
-1.3%
On power play, Cirelli has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Cirelli shoots left. Rossi is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Rossi
Home
46.7% (649)
47.5% (520)
Away
53.5% (643)
46.0% (472)
By Period
Cirelli
Rossi
P1
50.1%
47.8%
P2
51.1%
44.2%
P3
48.5%
48.7%
OT
64.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
49.7%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 10:47 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 03:37 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:38 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 05:54 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |