Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 51.2% vs Kastelic 55.9% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 79.6%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 52.4%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 59.7%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Cirelli
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cirelli
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Cirelli
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (585)
58.0% (476)
-5.9%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
75.0% (8)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
50.9% (106)
-4.4%
On power play, Kastelic has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Cirelli is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (327).
Cirelli shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Kastelic
Home
52.4% (462)
64.9% (265)
Away
50.1% (369)
50.5% (325)
By Period
Cirelli
Kastelic
P1
50.7%
58.5%
P2
49.6%
55.6%
P3
53.3%
56.8%
Final 5 min
49.5%
62.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 01:22 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |