Anthony Cirelli vs Mark Kastelic
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.4% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Kastelic leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 77.8%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 71.4%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 53.7%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Cirelli
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Cirelli
Kastelic
Last 10: Cirelli 5-5 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
5
3
Cirelli
Kastelic
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
2
Cirelli
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (5,684)
57.0% (1,613)
-7.2%
Power Play
56.9% (571)
80.0% (25)
-23.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,196)
53.6% (274)
-9.8%
On power play, Kastelic has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Cirelli is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,851).
Cirelli shoots left. Kastelic is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,420).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Kastelic
Home
49.6% (3,763)
58.9% (895)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
55.1% (1,017)
By Period
Cirelli
Kastelic
P1
49.9%
58.5%
P2
48.8%
56.9%
P3
49.2%
55.3%
OT
51.6%
53.8%
Final 5 min
50.9%
59.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 08:18 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 14:15 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 04:40 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 16:52 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 18:35 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 09:15 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 01:46 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 01:22 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |