Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Kastelic 53.5% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 71.7%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 69.1%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 68.5%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Cirelli
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Cirelli
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
3
Cirelli
Kastelic
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
53.4% (337)
-2.5%
Power Play
43.4% (76)
100.0% (4)
-56.6%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (150)
75.0% (8)
-31.0%
On power play, Kastelic has a +56.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Cirelli is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Cirelli shoots left. Kastelic is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Kastelic
Home
50.6% (494)
56.2% (162)
Away
47.6% (441)
52.9% (187)
By Period
Cirelli
Kastelic
P1
52.3%
58.2%
P2
45.4%
58.8%
P3
49.5%
45.4%
Final 5 min
47.5%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 09:15 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 01:46 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |