Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Kastelic 58.3% (-11.0%)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 78.6%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 69.5%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 53.4%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Cirelli
Kastelic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
61.2% (340)
-10.8%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
83.3% (6)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
56.0% (141)
-19.5%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Cirelli is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Cirelli shoots left. Kastelic is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Kastelic
Home
54.2% (395)
60.9% (233)
Away
45.0% (509)
59.1% (254)
By Period
Cirelli
Kastelic
P1
50.8%
58.6%
P2
50.0%
58.7%
P3
46.6%
63.1%
OT
33.3%
53.8%
Final 5 min
53.4%
67.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
60.0%