Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Dowd 53.3% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 93.1%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 63.8%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 74.1%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 88.4%
88.4%
11.6%
Cirelli
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Cirelli
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
3
Cirelli
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Cirelli
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
55.4% (771)
-9.0%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
57.1% (7)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (112)
45.5% (165)
-8.0%
On even strength, Dowd has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Cirelli is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Cirelli shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Dowd
Home
46.7% (478)
58.2% (462)
Away
46.4% (470)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Cirelli
Dowd
P1
46.6%
55.6%
P2
48.6%
50.5%
P3
44.3%
53.9%
OT
44.4%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 09:00 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 1 | 19:37 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 14:26 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 05:50 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |