Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Dowd 48.3% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 85.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 90.0%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 50.9%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Cirelli
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Cirelli
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Cirelli
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
49.2% (778)
+1.7%
Power Play
43.4% (76)
58.3% (12)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (150)
44.0% (234)
+0.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Cirelli is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Cirelli shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Dowd
Home
50.6% (494)
46.3% (492)
Away
47.6% (441)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Cirelli
Dowd
P1
52.3%
49.1%
P2
45.4%
48.2%
P3
49.5%
46.9%
OT
62.5%
71.4%
Final 5 min
47.5%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 19:45 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 02:29 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |