Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 50.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 51.2% vs Dowd 50.7% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 77.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 82.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.9%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Cirelli
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cirelli
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Cirelli
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (585)
55.2% (625)
-3.1%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
57.1% (7)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
38.2% (220)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Cirelli is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (327).
Cirelli shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Dowd
Home
52.4% (462)
53.7% (445)
Away
50.1% (369)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Cirelli
Dowd
P1
50.7%
48.8%
P2
49.6%
49.3%
P3
53.3%
54.0%
OT
61.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.5%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |