Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Bjugstad 53.8% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 65.2%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 52.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 55.6%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Cirelli
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cirelli
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Cirelli
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
55.9% (245)
-9.5%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
0.0% (3)
+57.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (112)
57.1% (7)
-19.6%
On power play, Cirelli has a +57.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Cirelli is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Cirelli shoots left. Bjugstad is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Bjugstad
Home
46.7% (478)
53.2% (111)
Away
46.4% (470)
56.9% (144)
By Period
Cirelli
Bjugstad
P1
46.6%
44.6%
P2
48.6%
61.4%
P3
44.3%
61.3%
Final 5 min
50.6%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 09:15 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 1 | 06:40 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |