Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 49.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 57.9%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 65.9%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 50.3%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Cirelli
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Cirelli
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Cirelli
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
50.7% (906)
+0.2%
Power Play
43.4% (76)
48.1% (108)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (150)
44.4% (239)
-0.4%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Cirelli is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Cirelli shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Bjugstad
Home
50.6% (494)
49.8% (643)
Away
47.6% (441)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Cirelli
Bjugstad
P1
52.3%
49.4%
P2
45.4%
50.5%
P3
49.5%
47.9%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 17:37 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 11:36 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |