Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 51.2% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 60.4%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 70.7%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 57.8%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Cirelli
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Cirelli
Bjugstad
Last 9: Cirelli 4-5 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
4
Cirelli
Bjugstad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
0
Cirelli
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (585)
49.4% (867)
+2.7%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
56.0% (25)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
40.7% (216)
+5.8%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Cirelli is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (327).
Cirelli shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Bjugstad
Home
52.4% (462)
46.5% (480)
Away
50.1% (369)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Cirelli
Bjugstad
P1
50.7%
48.7%
P2
49.6%
45.6%
P3
53.3%
49.1%
OT
61.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2023 | OT | 04:49 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 15:32 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 12:33 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 2 | 05:54 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 08:29 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 10:53 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |