Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Strome 46.8% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 71.9%
Defensive zone
Strome 61.3%
Neutral zone
Strome 63.7%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Cirelli
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Cirelli
Strome
Last 6: Cirelli 1-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Cirelli
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
4
Cirelli
Strome
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
46.4% (371)
+4.5%
Power Play
43.4% (76)
43.3% (97)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (150)
55.6% (18)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Cirelli is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Cirelli shoots left. Strome is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Strome
Home
50.6% (494)
47.6% (225)
Away
47.6% (441)
44.8% (261)
By Period
Cirelli
Strome
P1
52.3%
45.4%
P2
45.4%
47.6%
P3
49.5%
45.2%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 19:30 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 04:57 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 17:47 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 00:09 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |