Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Strome 42.3% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 63.6%
Defensive zone
Strome 62.1%
Neutral zone
Strome 67.1%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Cirelli
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Cirelli
Strome
Last 10: Cirelli 4-6 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
5
Cirelli
Strome
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
41.2% (1,040)
+8.7%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
43.0% (151)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
51.4% (35)
-2.7%
On power play, Cirelli has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Cirelli is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (462).
Cirelli shoots left. Strome is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Strome
Home
46.7% (649)
40.1% (581)
Away
53.5% (643)
43.1% (645)
By Period
Cirelli
Strome
P1
50.1%
41.4%
P2
51.1%
42.9%
P3
48.5%
40.5%
OT
64.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
49.7%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 16:32 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 10:42 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:19 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 16:34 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 07:20 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 06:03 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:11 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 08:00 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 07:14 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |