Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.4% vs Strome 44.6% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 39-23 in 62 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 76.3%
Defensive zone
Strome 81.1%
Neutral zone
Strome 78.4%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 78.6%
21.4%
78.6%
Cirelli
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
39
(62 meetings)
23
39
Cirelli
Strome
Last 10: Cirelli 4-6 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
4
17
Cirelli
Strome
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
9
12
Cirelli
Strome
21 total
Neutral Zone
Even
10
10
Cirelli
Strome
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (5,684)
44.1% (6,839)
+5.7%
Power Play
56.9% (571)
49.3% (854)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,196)
41.5% (410)
+2.3%
On power play, Cirelli has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Cirelli is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,851).
Cirelli shoots left. Strome is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,726).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Strome
Home
49.6% (3,763)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
Cirelli
Strome
P1
49.9%
44.0%
P2
48.8%
45.3%
P3
49.2%
44.3%
OT
51.6%
46.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 01:45 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 01:34 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 07:25 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 16:32 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 10:42 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:19 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 16:34 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 07:20 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 06:03 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:11 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 08:00 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 07:14 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 19:30 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 04:57 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 17:47 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |