Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Strome 45.2% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 54.8%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 70.4%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 65.0%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Cirelli
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Cirelli
Strome
Last 5: Cirelli 3-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Cirelli
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
0
Cirelli
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
44.2% (267)
+6.2%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
37.0% (27)
+32.9%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
50.0% (4)
-13.5%
On power play, Cirelli has a +32.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Cirelli is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Cirelli shoots left. Strome is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Strome
Home
54.2% (395)
42.0% (157)
Away
45.0% (509)
45.4% (141)
By Period
Cirelli
Strome
P1
50.8%
40.0%
P2
50.0%
46.4%
P3
46.6%
44.0%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.4%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 01:45 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 01:34 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 07:25 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |