Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Carrick 49.5% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 68.9%
Defensive zone
Carrick 50.9%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 54.4%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Cirelli
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cirelli
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Cirelli
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
48.9% (352)
-2.5%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
81.3% (16)
-23.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (112)
42.2% (45)
-4.7%
On power play, Carrick has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Cirelli is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Cirelli shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Carrick
Home
46.7% (478)
46.9% (192)
Away
46.4% (470)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Cirelli
Carrick
P1
46.6%
48.1%
P2
48.6%
50.0%
P3
44.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 02:04 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |