Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Carrick 53.8% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 74.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 52.4%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 57.4%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Cirelli
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cirelli
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Cirelli
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
55.1% (439)
-4.7%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
66.7% (3)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
49.1% (53)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Cirelli is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Cirelli shoots left. Carrick is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Carrick
Home
54.2% (395)
58.2% (225)
Away
45.0% (509)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Cirelli
Carrick
P1
50.8%
56.7%
P2
50.0%
52.8%
P3
46.6%
54.4%
Final 5 min
53.4%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 09:34 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |