Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Carrick 53.0% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 72.3%
Defensive zone
Carrick 63.4%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 58.8%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Cirelli
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cirelli
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Cirelli
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
53.9% (521)
-3.0%
Power Play
43.4% (76)
57.1% (35)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (150)
51.5% (229)
-7.5%
On power play, Carrick has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Cirelli is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Cirelli shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Carrick
Home
50.6% (494)
52.7% (408)
Away
47.6% (441)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Cirelli
Carrick
P1
52.3%
51.4%
P2
45.4%
56.6%
P3
49.5%
52.1%
Final 5 min
47.5%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 18:24 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |