Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Pinto 50.7% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 62.0%
Defensive zone
Pinto 67.1%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 57.4%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Cirelli
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cirelli
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Cirelli
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
50.2% (520)
+0.2%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
68.0% (25)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
49.4% (89)
-12.9%
On penalty kill, Pinto has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Cirelli is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Cirelli shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Pinto
Home
54.2% (395)
48.8% (301)
Away
45.0% (509)
52.6% (333)
By Period
Cirelli
Pinto
P1
50.8%
51.2%
P2
50.0%
48.9%
P3
46.6%
53.3%
OT
33.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.4%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |