Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 52.1%). Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 51.2% vs Pinto 51.9% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 55.2%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 58.5%
Neutral zone
Pinto 52.0%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Cirelli
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cirelli
Pinto
Last 5: Cirelli 4-1 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Pinto
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
1
Cirelli
Pinto
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (585)
52.5% (825)
-0.4%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
40.0% (10)
+16.8%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
44.4% (27)
+2.1%
On power play, Cirelli has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Cirelli is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (327).
Cirelli shoots left. Pinto is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Pinto
Home
52.4% (462)
52.8% (453)
Away
50.1% (369)
51.3% (409)
By Period
Cirelli
Pinto
P1
50.7%
49.0%
P2
49.6%
53.5%
P3
53.3%
53.7%
OT
61.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 06:35 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 19:26 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 04:20 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 06:46 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |