Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Pinto 50.5% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 52.6%
Defensive zone
Pinto 53.4%
Neutral zone
Pinto 50.5%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Cirelli
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Cirelli
Pinto
Last 8: Cirelli 7-1 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Cirelli
Pinto
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
0
Cirelli
Pinto
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
4
0
Cirelli
Pinto
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
51.2% (463)
-0.3%
Power Play
43.4% (76)
50.0% (14)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (150)
36.8% (19)
+7.2%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Cirelli is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Cirelli shoots left. Pinto is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Pinto
Home
50.6% (494)
52.2% (205)
Away
47.6% (441)
49.5% (291)
By Period
Cirelli
Pinto
P1
52.3%
48.7%
P2
45.4%
51.8%
P3
49.5%
51.2%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | OT | 00:38 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 16:21 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 10:18 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 13:35 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 10:45 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:38 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |