Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 50.1%). Look for Pinto on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Pinto 50.1% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 64.2%
Defensive zone
Pinto 61.5%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 52.7%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Cirelli
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Cirelli
Pinto
Last 9: Cirelli 2-7 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
4
Cirelli
Pinto
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
2
Cirelli
Pinto
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Cirelli
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
50.4% (779)
-0.5%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
55.2% (29)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
44.9% (78)
+3.8%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Cirelli is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (462).
Cirelli shoots left. Pinto is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Pinto
Home
46.7% (649)
52.4% (454)
Away
53.5% (643)
47.7% (432)
By Period
Cirelli
Pinto
P1
50.1%
48.1%
P2
51.1%
52.9%
P3
48.5%
49.3%
OT
64.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 18:58 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 18:52 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 18:02 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 17:41 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 09:09 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 03:53 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 10:17 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:55 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |