Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.4% vs Pinto 50.3% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 55.8%
Defensive zone
Pinto 58.6%
Neutral zone
Pinto 52.3%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Cirelli
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
10
(24 meetings)
14
10
Cirelli
Pinto
Last 10: Cirelli 3-7 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
2
5
Cirelli
Pinto
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
7
4
Cirelli
Pinto
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
5
1
Cirelli
Pinto
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (5,684)
50.6% (2,716)
-0.8%
Power Play
56.9% (571)
54.4% (90)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,196)
44.9% (234)
-1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Cirelli is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,851).
Cirelli shoots left. Pinto is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,185).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Pinto
Home
49.6% (3,763)
50.9% (1,501)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
49.6% (1,539)
By Period
Cirelli
Pinto
P1
49.9%
48.3%
P2
48.8%
51.7%
P3
49.2%
50.9%
OT
51.6%
46.7%
Final 5 min
50.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 18:58 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 18:52 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 18:02 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 17:41 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 09:09 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 03:53 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 10:17 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:55 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 11, 2024 | OT | 00:38 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 16:21 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 10:18 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 13:35 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 10:45 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:38 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 06:35 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |