Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Seguin 55.4% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 70.3%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 71.2%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 75.8%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
Cirelli
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Cirelli
Seguin
Last 8: Cirelli 2-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Cirelli
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cirelli
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Cirelli
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
56.5% (712)
-10.1%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
59.7% (67)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (112)
44.9% (49)
-7.4%
On even strength, Seguin has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Cirelli is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Cirelli shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Seguin
Home
46.7% (478)
58.5% (402)
Away
46.4% (470)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Cirelli
Seguin
P1
46.6%
58.4%
P2
48.6%
54.7%
P3
44.3%
54.1%
OT
44.4%
72.7%
Final 5 min
50.6%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 15:57 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 08:06 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 11:35 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 17:01 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |