Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Seguin 52.5% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 51.0%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 52.0%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 57.0%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Cirelli
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Cirelli
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Cirelli
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
53.2% (201)
-2.8%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
60.0% (25)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
44.4% (9)
-7.9%
On power play, Cirelli has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Cirelli is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Cirelli shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Seguin
Home
54.2% (395)
56.3% (126)
Away
45.0% (509)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Cirelli
Seguin
P1
50.8%
44.3%
P2
50.0%
52.1%
P3
46.6%
62.5%
OT
33.3%
80.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 14:05 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 06:42 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:46 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 11:02 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |