Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Seguin 55.4% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 69.4%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 67.4%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 71.9%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Cirelli
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Cirelli
Seguin
Last 10: Cirelli 3-7 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
3
Cirelli
Seguin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
6
Cirelli
Seguin
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
56.9% (478)
-6.0%
Power Play
43.4% (76)
57.4% (54)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (150)
51.3% (76)
-7.3%
On power play, Seguin has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Cirelli is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Cirelli shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Seguin
Home
50.6% (494)
57.4% (317)
Away
47.6% (441)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Cirelli
Seguin
P1
52.3%
50.3%
P2
45.4%
60.4%
P3
49.5%
58.0%
OT
62.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.5%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 12:12 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 03:05 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 17:35 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 17:54 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 03:26 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 00:58 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 00:42 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 11:26 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |