Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Seguin 51.8% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 51.1%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 64.6%
Neutral zone
Seguin 51.2%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Cirelli
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Cirelli
Seguin
Last 10: Cirelli 5-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
3
Cirelli
Seguin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Cirelli
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
54.8% (135)
-4.9%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
58.3% (24)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
26.7% (15)
+22.0%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Cirelli is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (462).
Cirelli shoots left. Seguin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Seguin
Home
46.7% (649)
47.4% (95)
Away
53.5% (643)
59.5% (79)
By Period
Cirelli
Seguin
P1
50.1%
50.8%
P2
51.1%
57.1%
P3
48.5%
51.6%
Final 5 min
49.7%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 18:10 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 13:19 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 14:21 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 12:15 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 04:32 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 18:57 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 12:04 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 04:47 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 01:23 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |