Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 45.3% vs Matthews 55.8% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 60.6%
Defensive zone
Lundell 72.3%
Neutral zone
Lundell 57.7%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Lundell
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lundell
Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
Matthews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
0
1
Lundell
Matthews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
0
1
Lundell
Matthews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (637)
56.3% (1,167)
-10.5%
Power Play
58.3% (24)
57.5% (40)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (87)
50.0% (22)
-17.8%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Lundell is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (481).
Lundell shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Home / Away
Lundell
Matthews
Home
46.3% (434)
60.7% (572)
Away
42.4% (314)
52.4% (657)
By Period
Lundell
Matthews
P1
46.6%
60.3%
P2
39.9%
55.6%
P3
47.1%
53.3%
OT
33.3%
45.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.7%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 15:45 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 15:26 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 05:16 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |