Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lundell wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Matthews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 47.0% vs Matthews 52.2% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 51.1%
Defensive zone
Lundell 67.9%
Neutral zone
Lundell 58.0%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Lundell
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lundell
Matthews
Last 5: Lundell 2-3 Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
Matthews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
Matthews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
0
3
Lundell
Matthews
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (491)
52.7% (1,015)
-7.9%
Power Play
60.0% (40)
34.6% (26)
+25.4%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (48)
75.0% (8)
-22.9%
On power play, Lundell has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Lundell is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Lundell shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Lundell
Matthews
Home
45.5% (319)
54.8% (515)
Away
47.7% (260)
50.2% (534)
By Period
Lundell
Matthews
P1
50.8%
54.4%
P2
46.5%
50.4%
P3
41.7%
51.8%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.5%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 09:36 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:26 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 3 | 12:12 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 1 | 11:42 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |